NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Aug 22-26, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

A mostly stable weather week and mixed water conditions. With rain and thunderstorms moving through the state on Sunday Evening/Night, a cold front will move through the area, followed by high pressure for most of the week. This means overall cooler and drier air with mostly dry conditions this week. Another cold front moves through on Friday, when temperatures will return to the upper 80’s and low 90’s and then rain and thunderstorm chances as well. Humidity will be low to moderate, slowly increasing into Friday, becoming moderate to high again. The first half of the week will see very low dew points/humidity with overnight lows into the 50’s for Monday and not back into the upper 60’s to 70’s until after midweek. Fog will be possible in the morning on Monday through Wednesday. This is already showing some early end of season changes, as we approach September already! Summer is quickly moving off…not sure where all the time went. Water conditions will be mixed, but overall will start off cautious then borderline for Monday, then mostly good until Friday, when conditions will deteriorate to borderline and cautious. There may be some borderline days in the middle of the week, mainly due to seas to 3 feet and cautious conditions will only see winds to 20 knots and seas 2-4 feet, then 3-4 feet. Overall, not the the worst. TS Fiona could bring some lingering effects later in the week or weekend, depending how close the track comes to the coast. Surf and beach conditions are good as well. Monday and Friday could be borderline to even cautious. Rip Current Risks will be Low to Moderate on Monday and Friday, but should be good the rest of the week. Remember, thunderstorms are possible on Friday and could move in or pop up bringing heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and gusty winds. This will increase marine forecasts in and around storms. Surf zone and rip current risks need to be checked daily and follow local beach patrols. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s and 80’s. UV Index will be High to Very High at 7-9/15.
A cold front was located just to our west this afternoon. The front will move eastward through the area this evening. High pressure builds into the area Monday and remain over the area through Thursday. The next cold front approaches from the northwest on
Friday. The front may dissipate over the area next weekend while the center of high pressure approaches from the Great Lakes.

The weekend looks dry right now with temperatures in the 80’s (some upper 80’s possible) with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious at this point.

The Atlantic Tropics are active with TS Fiona out in the Atlantic that will eventually weaken and stay out to sea. However, there may be some lingering water conditions from this storm later in the week or into the weekend. There are also two invest out in the Eastern Atlantic that will need to be watched. It is too early to say much about these, but both could affect the US anywhere from the Gulf Coast to the East Coast.

Have a great week and thanks for reading! Sorry for the tech difficulties this weekend. Nothing would work…first the computer, then websites, then pic hosting! I got aggravated and gave up after trying for over 12 hours on and off. I have also started a new job and am out of the “office” more during the day now, than I was before.

Monday
Sky:   Sunny then clear, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, mid with upper 60’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:15am
Sunset: 7:44pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny then clear, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s at the shore, mid 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:16am
Sunset: 7:42pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s inland, upper 60’s to low 70’s at the shore, upper 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:17am
Sunset: 7:41pm
Last Qtr: 11:42pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, mid 60’s for northern areas
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:18am
Sunset: 7:39pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms (mainly western and northern parts of the state)
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Low 70’s with mid 60’s for northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 6:19am
Sunset: 7:38pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Atlantic Tropics






Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  84°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     N 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     N 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  81°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NNE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    SE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    WNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    SE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    S 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    SE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    W 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    NW 11 to 16 knots
Seas:    N 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ENE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon\
Winds:    ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:   NNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:   1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    WNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    S 12 to 17 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  80°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NW 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
 Monday Night
Wind:     N 12 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     NNE 5-10 knots becoming ENE in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SSE 6 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     WSW 11-13 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     S 5-7 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 6-11 knots in the morning
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  71°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:    N 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    NNE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    E 1 to 1 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
 Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  71°F - 84°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots late
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:     N 5-10 knots becoming W late
Seas:     1-2 feet until late afternoon, then 1 foot or less
Surf:     1 foot, then 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     N 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:    S 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:     S 10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:     S 10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  80°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    NW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:    NW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    NE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:   NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 13 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds:    SSE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds:    WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)