Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 17-18, 2016  (Read 1224 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A dry start with showers and thunderstorms later on Saturday and mixed water conditions. Saturday Day will be dry, with showers and thunderstorms possible for Saturday Night and all day Sunday. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Humidity will be moderate to even high at times. Water conditions will be good for northern and central rivers and bays, but southern bays and the Delaware Bay will be good to borderline. Inshore ocean waters will be good to borderline and midshore to offshore waters will be cautious with higher seas. Longer period swells will be in full swing at 10 seconds with seas 3-4 feet. Surf conditions will be good to borderline as well. Rip Current Risks will be Low to Moderate. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to High at 4-6/15.

High pressure will continue to shift east of the New England coast tonight into Saturday. As low pressure tracks well to our north later Saturday and Sunday, its associated cold front will cross our region Sunday night and Monday. A secondary cold front may then slide through our area late Tuesday. High pressure builds in for
Wednesday into Thursday, before shifting offshore Friday.

The Atlantic Tropics are active with a tropical storm, a tropical depression, and two invests. Both current systems will need to be watched. TD Julia is off the East Coast and TS Karl is out in the Atlantic. Both could impact at least water conditions, but potentially could threaten land in the future.

Next week will start off with showers and thunderstorms on Monday during the day and then clearing out for Monday Night. The rest of the week looks dry. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, but could change with any tropical weather.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 0% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:     Mid 70’s to low 80’s
Low:     Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index:  5-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:39am
Sunset: 7:02pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  30% - 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:     Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:     Mid 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 7:01pm


Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Precipitation Totals



Severe Weather Risks for Saturday & Sunday



Atlantic Tropics







Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  73°F
Sat
SE winds around 5 kt...increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat Night
S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun
S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely... Mainly in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun Night
SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Saturday
Winds:    SE 5 knots increasing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  73°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    SE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    SE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:    1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    SW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature: 
Saturday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSE 5-9 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:     S 8-11 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:     S 8-12 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     S 8-10 knots becoming NNE after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  73°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    S 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  73°F – 76°F
Saturday
Wind:     SE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots late
Seas:     1-2 feet, then 2-3 feet
Surf:     1 foot, then 1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  68°F - 70°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:   SE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds:    SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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