NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 3-7, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Another unsettled week with cautious to hazardous water conditions. Showers are possible most of the week, but chances are lower and showers will be isolated to scattered. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water conditions will be good to cautious for Monday becoming cautious to hazardous with gusty winds to 30 knots and seas to 8 feet. Surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious. Water temperatures are in the 60’s and 70’s. UV index will be Low to High at 1-6/15.

Low pressure will weaken as it moves into New England tonight. High pressure will build down from Canada Tuesday and Wednesday, settling across New England and persisting through the mid week period.

The weekend will have chances of showers with highs in the 60’s and 70’s and overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious to hazardous.

Hurricane Matthew is still a large and powerful Category 5 storm heading northwest towards Jamaica, Cuba and the Bahamas. Matthew should remain off the coast and will only affect water conditions, but this storm and track needs to be closely watched. There is another invest in the Eastern Atlantic/Caribbean that will move northeast and stay offshore as well.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Fog in the morning
Precipitation:  20% - 30% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 70’s
Low:   Mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 6:36pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, low 60’s at the shore, upper 40’s for northern areas
UV Index:  1-5/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:56am
Sunset: 6:35pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  0% - 20% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, low 60’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  2-5/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:57am
Sunset: 6:33pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, low 60’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  2-5/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:58am
Sunset: 6:31pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, low 60’s at the shore, low 50’s for northern areas
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 6:59am
Sunset: 6:30pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Thunderstorm Risks Monday



Atlantic Tropics






Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday
Wind:     W 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     E 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Friday
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 3 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NE 11 to 16 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    E 12 to 17 knots
Seas:    SE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    E 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    ENE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     4-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     4-6 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds:    ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     3-6 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds:    ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     3-6 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:
Monday
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming NE 5-8 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     ENE 13-16 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     ENE 17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 16-20 knots with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 14-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NNE 15-20 knots with gusts to 28 knots   
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  69°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NNE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    NNE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds:    ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:    E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     4-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     4-6 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    NNE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    ENE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     4-7 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    ESE 6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     4-7 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  73°F - 75°F
Monday
Wind:     NW 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:     N 5 knots becoming NE late
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots late
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NE 15-20 knots
Seas:     3-4 feet
Surf:     2-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NE 15-20 knots
Seas:     3-4 feet
Surf:     2-3 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 20 knots
Seas:     3-4 feet
Surf:     2-3 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NE 15-20 knots
Seas:     3-4 feet
Surf:     2-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  66°F - 70°F
Monday Morning
Winds:    NNE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds:    N 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    ENE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    ENE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:    E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:    S 7 feet at 13 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)