Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 17-21, 2012  (Read 7091 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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This week will start off nice with the same weather we’ve had for the last several days.  That will change on Monday Night with rain and showers and even a threat of strong to severe thunderstorms on Tuesday into Wednesday.  Rainfall amounts could be in the 1-3 inch rain with locally higher amounts possible.  This could cause some local flooding and flash flooding conditions.  By Wednesday Night the storms will end leaving sunny and clear conditions for the end of the week and likely into the weekend.  High temperatures will be in the 70’s and even low 80’s during the week with lows in 50’s and 60’s.  The long period swell from Hurricane Nadine should be out of the area by the start of the week.  Water conditions for the week are going to need to be watched.  Monday is looking at good ratings for Monday, Thursday and Friday in all locations, however Tuesday and Wednesday are looking cautious to hazardous for all locations with Small Craft Advisories for winds as high as 30 knots and seas at 6+ feet.  This is from a large low pressure gradient with a strong southerly flow ahead of the front and a strong northwesterly flow with it and behind it.  By Thursday conditions should begin to return to normal and are rated good, however seas will still be around 4 feet at 6 seconds.

High pressure that has dominated the area will begin to move east by the start of the week being replaced by a SLOW moving cold front with areas of low pressure along it.  This front won’t completely move through the area until Wednesday.  High pressure will build in behind it for Thursday through the remainder of the week and for right now, most of the weekend.

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy      
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance (day), 60% chance of rain (night)
Temperatures
High:  Upper 70’s
Low:  Mid 60’s
Sunrise: 6:39am
Sunset: 7:03pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-7/10
Weather2Hunt.com-47/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy all day
Precipitation:  70% (day) & 90% (night) chance rain/thunderstorms, strong to severe
Temperatures
High:  Low 80’s
Low:  Mid to upper 60’s
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 7:01pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-6/10
Weather2Hunt.com-37/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  40% chance rain/thunderstorms, strong to severe (day), 0% to slight chance (night)  
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 70’s
Low:  Low to mid 50’s
Sunrise: 6:41am
Sunset: 6:59pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-4/10
Weather2Hunt.com-33/50

Thursday
Sky:  Sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 70’s
Low:  Low 50’s
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 6:58pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-6/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Friday
Sky:  Partly cloudy becoming mostly sunny
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid 70’s
Low:  Upper 50’s
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 6:56pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-6/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis


Friday Surface Analysis



Total Accumulation of Rain from Sunday – Friday



Flash Flood Guidance 1 Hour



Flash Flood Guidance 3 Hour



Flash Flood Guidance 6 Hour



Precipitable Water (Max Amount) 3AM Wednesday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  73F
Monday Morning
Wind:  W 5 knots with
Seas:  1 foot or less
Monday  Afternoon
Wind:  S 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  SE 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming S 20-25 knots at night and diminishing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding 1-2 feet after midhnight, visibility 1-3 nm
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Morning
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  SE 5 knots becoming S 5-10 knots and SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                              


Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  73F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 12 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 12 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 16 to 22 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 sec.

Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 22 to 29 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 6 sec.

Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 sec.

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 7 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 7 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 6 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 6 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides



Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  74F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 12 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 12 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 20 to 28 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 5 sec.

Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 24 to 32 knots
Seas: SSE 7 feet at 6 sec.

Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 sec.

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 sec.
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 6 sec.

Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 6 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 7 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 6 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  68F
Monday Morning
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Monday  Afternoon
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 at night
Seas:  2-3 feet building to 2-4 feet and visibility 1-3 nm at night
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  S 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  4-6 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  S 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Thursday Morning
Wind: N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  WN 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming S 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less becoming 1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides



Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 12 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 12 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 24 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.

Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 22 to 30 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 6 sec.

Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 8 sec.

Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 7 sec.

Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ENE 6 feet at 6 sec.

Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 14 to 19 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 7 sec.

Friday Morning
Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 6 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 11 sec.

Global Model Wave Heights 2PM Tuesday



Global Model Wave Heights 11PM Tuesday (Peak Heights)





NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!


*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: September 19, 2012, 01:26:06 PM by Pfishingruven »


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 17-21, 2012
« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2012, 01:08:22 PM »
The SPC has issued a Slight Risk for Severe Weather on Tuesday into Wednesday for NJ and surround states.  Timing is likely into the evening and overnight hours with a risk of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds.  This is still a couple of days out, so changes are possible.  I will update this as the updates are made available from the SPC/NWS.



Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NEW EVENT Gale Watch Monday September 17, 2012
« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2012, 09:51:44 AM »
A Gale Watch has been issued by the NWS PHI for Sandy Hook, NJ to Fenwick Island, DE including New York Harbor, Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay for Tuesday.  Essentially the entire East Coast from Maine to the Carolinas is under a Gale Watch or Small Craft Advisories.

Quote
Gale Watch
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-180130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...W WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S. SEAS AROUND
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING SW 25 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN
THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT.
.THU...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
AROUND 3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-180130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...W WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SHOWERS WITH A
CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-180130-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SE. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT... INCREASING
TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING SW 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS WITH A
CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE EVENING... THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-180130-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
921 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SE. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS
LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT... INCREASING
TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING SW 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS WITH A
CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE EVENING... THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT IN THE MORNING...THEN 1 FOOT OR LESS.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S. SEAS 1 FOOT OR LESS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Briefing Package from the NWS PHI on Severe Weather
« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2012, 01:38:53 PM »
Here is the link to a Briefing Package from the NWS PHI/Mount Holly on the Severe Weather Event tomorrow into Wednesday.

NWS PHI Briefing Package


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NEW EVENTS NJ & Coastal Waters
« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2012, 07:04:27 PM »
The NWS PHI/Mount Holly & OKX have issued a Gale Warning and Small Craft Advisory for Sandy Hook to Fenwick Island, DE including Delaware Bay and parts of the Delaware River.  A Storm Watch has been issued for New York Harbor and Raritan Bay.  A Wind Advisory has been issued for most of NJ with a High Wind Watch for Northeastern NJ Counties.



Quote
Gale Warning
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

ANZ430-431-181000-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0017.120918T1600Z-120919T0800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS
  ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY EVENING.

* SEAS...GENERALLY FROM 2 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH
  THE STRONG WIND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WIND
  SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DIMINISH LATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT
  FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

IOVINO
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

ANZ450-451-181000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.120918T0800Z-120918T1600Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0017.120918T1600Z-120919T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 400 AM UNTIL NOON TUESDAY. A
GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY UNTIL 400 AM
WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS
  FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SOUTH AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS
  WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY EVENING.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
  MORNING. GENERALLY 6 TO 10 FEET FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH
  THE STRONG WIND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WIND
  SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DIMINISH LATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT
  FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

ANZ452>455-181000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.120918T0400Z-120918T1600Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0017.120918T1600Z-120919T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON
EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL NOON
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY UNTIL
400 AM WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS
  FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SOUTH AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS
  WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY EVENING.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
  MORNING. GENERALLY 6 TO 10 FEET FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH
  THE STRONG WIND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WIND
  SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DIMINISH LATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT
  FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-181015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS
7 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS WITH
A CHANCE OF TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING NE 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING E IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM...THEN 1 TO 3 NM AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-181015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
LATE THIS EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT... INCREASING
TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF
TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING NE 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING
TO 5 TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT IN THE MORNING...
THEN 1 FOOT OR LESS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT OR LESS.
.FRI...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
1 FOOT OR LESS.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
1 FOOT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-181015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE THIS EVENING AND
EARLY MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. GUSTS UP TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING... THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF
TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.FRI...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-181015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS
7 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS WITH
A CHANCE OF TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM...THEN 1 TO 3 NM AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Quote
Small Craft Advisory
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

ANZ450-451-181000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.120918T0800Z-120918T1600Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0017.120918T1600Z-120919T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 400 AM UNTIL NOON TUESDAY. A
GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY UNTIL 400 AM
WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS
  FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SOUTH AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS
  WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY EVENING.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
  MORNING. GENERALLY 6 TO 10 FEET FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH
  THE STRONG WIND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WIND
  SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DIMINISH LATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT
  FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

ANZ452>455-181000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.120918T0400Z-120918T1600Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0017.120918T1600Z-120919T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
648 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON
EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL NOON
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY UNTIL
400 AM WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS
  FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SOUTH AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS
  WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY EVENING.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
  MORNING. GENERALLY 6 TO 10 FEET FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH
  THE STRONG WIND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WIND
  SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DIMINISH LATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT
  FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-181015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS
7 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS WITH
A CHANCE OF TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM...THEN 1 TO 3 NM AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-181015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
638 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS
7 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS WITH
A CHANCE OF TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING NE 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING E IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM...THEN 1 TO 3 NM AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Quote
Storm Watch
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ345-180815-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS. A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...INCREASING TO
20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES 2 TO
3 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. WAVES 2 TO
4 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...BECOMING N WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. WAVES 1 TO
2 FT.
.THU...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT...N WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THEN BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ340-180815-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS. A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...INCREASING TO
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES AROUND
2 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. WAVES 2 TO
3 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...BECOMING N WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY
IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. WAVES 1 FT
OR LESS.
.THU...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR
LESS...THEN 1 TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING
NE 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN
1 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.
.SAT...NE WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SW. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ338-180815-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING S 20 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND TSTMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING SW 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.
.THU...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WAVES 1 TO 2 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN 1 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...E WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. WAVES 1 FT
OR LESS.
.SAT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. WAVES 1 FT
OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ335-180815-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING S 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS. TSTMS LIKELY
IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP
TO 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH
VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING E IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 1 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...E WINDS AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS.
.SAT...SW WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT
OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ330-180815-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...INCREASING TO
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
SHOWERS LIKELY. TSTMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...BECOMING N WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS AROUND 2 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT.
.THU...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING
NE 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN
1 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS.
.SAT...NE WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ355-180815-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS LIKELY. TSTMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 TO
10 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...NW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...BECOMING N
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.THU...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING
NE 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT.
.SAT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ350-180815-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...INCREASING TO
20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY. A
CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. SEAS 9 TO
12 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...BECOMING N WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO
5 TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING E 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING N AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT.
.SAT...N WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ353-180815-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
407 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO
10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...BECOMING N
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING E 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS AROUND 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.FRI...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THEN BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$


Quote
Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
254 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.A COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY ON
TUESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND IS ANTICIPATED IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT`S ARRIVAL.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-181000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WI.Y.0009.120918T1600Z-120919T0400Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
254 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT.

* WINDS...A SOUTH WIND AT 20 TO 25 MPH ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON
  BECOMING SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED. GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONG WIND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON TUESDAY
  EVENING. WIND SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DIMINISH LATE ON TUESDAY
  NIGHT, FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WIND MAY BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND UTILITY
  LINES. OUTDOOR ITEMS SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS
  WILL BE BLOWN ABOUT. THE WIND MAY ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT,
  ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN DRIVING, ESPECIALLY IF YOU ARE OPERATING A
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.

&&

$$

IOVINO

Quote
High Wind Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
348 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-
180400-
/O.NEW.KOKX.HW.A.0002.120918T1600Z-120919T1000Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
348 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...NEW
  YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...HIGH WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH
  POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...HIGHEST THREAT POTENTIAL IS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
  EVENING FOR LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND NEW
  YORK CITY AND LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING TO THE EAST.
  THIS POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS WITH ANY HEAVY SHOWERS OR
  THUNDERSTORMS.

* IMPACTS...DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES WITH POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

Offline fluke - u

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 17-21, 2012
« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2012, 07:55:36 PM »
 thud..Well if that is not a "stay the hell home" report ...... >:(
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Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 17-21, 2012
« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2012, 09:03:53 PM »
thud..Well if that is not a "stay the hell home" report ...... >:(

Yeah, tomorrow and Wednesday are not going to be good.  Inshore Thursday is not horrible and by Friday Midshore to Offshore is looking ok.


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Rip Current Statement
« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2012, 09:05:21 PM »
NWS PHI/Mount Holly has issued a High Risk of Rip Currents with high and rough surf conditions with waves of 4-7 feet for all adjacent ocean waters of NJ.

Quote
Rip Current Statement
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
854 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-181200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.RP.S.0010.120918T1200Z-120919T0000Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
854 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 800 AM TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

* LOCATION...THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...HIGH.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IMPLIES THAT WIND AND WAVE CONDITIONS
WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS. THE RIP
CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF.
RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE. THEY OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS, JETTIES
AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY
ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS.

&&

$$

IOVINO

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NEW EVENT Coastal Flood Advisory
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2012, 10:25:39 AM »
The NWS PHI/Mount Holly has issued a Coastal Flood Advisory for Salem, Gloucester, Camden & Burlington Counties.  Minor tidal coastal flooding is possible along the Delaware Bay and southern Delaware River.

Quote
Coastal Flood Advisory
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
421 AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-182200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0019.120918T1700Z-120918T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
421 AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...ALONG THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER... TIDAL TRIBUTARIES
  AND UPPER DELAWARE BAY NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE RIVER.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS FORECAST. IF HEAVY
  RAIN OCCURS NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIME... IT WILL HAVE
  DIFFICULTY DRAINING AND WILL EXACERBATE FLOODING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE OCCURS FROM AROUND 1 PM NEAR THE MOUTH OF
  THE DELAWARE RIVER TO AROUND 5 PM NEAR BURLINGTON CITY. HIGH
  TIDE AT PHILADELPHIA IS AROUND 4 PM.

* IMPACTS...ROADS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO FLOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY...THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR COUNTY
PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER CASE).

&&

$$


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Tuesday Morning Update
« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2012, 10:38:08 AM »
Today will continue to be cloudy with gusty winds.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue until the widespread rain and thunderstorms move in this afternoon through the night.  The most strong and severe storms will occur this evening into the night.  Storms will be coming out of the southwest moving northeast.  I will continue to update with any pertinent information.

Current Surface Analysis with Radar



Current Radar




Here is the current Convective Outlook from the SPC.  Conditions will be conducive for squall lines with damaging straight line winds, embedded supercells capabale of producing tornadoes and even some hail.  There is also a chance of single supercells to intensify and spawn tornadoes.  The risk is only Slight, right now, however there may be an increase to a Moderate Risk later this afternoon with Watches being issued as well.







« Last Edit: September 18, 2012, 10:44:57 AM by Pfishingruven »

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1959
« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2012, 11:24:47 AM »
The SPC has issued a Mesoscale Discussion for most of NJ and surrounding states.  This is just discussing the increasing threat of thunderstorms with wind damage and isolated tornadoes.  There will likely be either a Severe Thunderstorm Watch or Tornado Watch issued by this afternoon.  If only a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is issued, it still means there is a potential for tornadic activity!!

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1959


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1960
« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2012, 11:36:37 AM »
The SPC has just issued an additional Mesoscale Discussion outlining the likely increase from Slight to Moderate Risk for severe weather for most of NJ.  This area will be clarified in the official update at 12:30 PM.  Increase will be for damaging winds and possibly an increase for tornado threats.  It is possible for just about every type of mesoscale convection this afternoon.

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1960


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Tornado Watch #643 ALL NJ
« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2012, 12:16:17 PM »
The SPC has issued a TORNADO WATCH until 7pm for all 21 Counties in NJ as well as all adjacent coastal waters of NJ.  The Watch is effective for parts of Delaware, Maryland, New York and Pennsylvania.

TORNADO WATCH #643



« Last Edit: September 18, 2012, 12:17:47 PM by Pfishingruven »

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook Update/Upgrade
« Reply #13 on: September 18, 2012, 12:36:07 PM »
As of the 12:30 PM update the SPC has upgraded western parts of NJ and surrounding states to a Moderate Risk of Severe Weather.  No other changes right now.








Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Latest Gale Warning
« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2012, 01:56:48 PM »
Quote
Gale Warning
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-190415-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 643 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS EARLY...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS LATE.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.FRI...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-190415-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 643 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS EARLY...THEN
SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS LATE.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT... BECOMING
W WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS.
A CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT IN THE MORNING...THEN
1 FOOT OR LESS.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT OR LESS.
.FRI...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
1 FOOT OR LESS.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
1 FOOT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-190415-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 643 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS EARLY...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS LATE.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT...BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS. A
CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING E 5 TO 10 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-190415-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 643 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS EARLY...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS LATE.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT...BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS. A
CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: SPC 4PM Update
« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2012, 04:10:07 PM »
The SPC has now placed most of NJ in a Moderate Risk for Severe Weather with main threats being damaging winds and possible tornadoes.








Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Current Radar...Here it Comes!!
« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2012, 05:15:20 PM »
Here comes the squall line of storms.  So far just Severe Thunderstorm Warnings associated with this line.  Several bowing segments/bow echoes on the radar.  These are areas that appear to bow out ahead of the main line, being forced forward by high straight line winds from behind.


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2012, 05:26:04 PM »
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are already being posted for some NJ Counties.

NJ Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Likely Extension of Tornado Watch
« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2012, 06:12:54 PM »
The SPC just issued a Mesoscale Discussion for most of NJ discussing an extension of the Tornado Watch for just the NWS PHI Area.

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1972


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Tornado Watch Extended Until 9PM
« Reply #19 on: September 18, 2012, 06:25:15 PM »
Tornado Watch #643 has been extended from 7PM to 9PM for Mercer, Monmouth, Hunterdon, Morris, Middlesex, Somerset, Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Ocean & Salem Counties as well as Delaware.

Quote
Tornado Watch
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 643
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
619 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

DEC001-005-NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-
035-190100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.TO.A.0643.000000T0000Z-120919T0100Z/

TORNADO WATCH 643...PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN DELAWARE THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL DELAWARE

KENT

IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE

SUSSEX

IN NEW JERSEY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 14 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY

MERCER                MONMOUTH

IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

HUNTERDON             MIDDLESEX             MORRIS
SOMERSET

IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY

ATLANTIC              BURLINGTON            CAMDEN
CAPE MAY              CUMBERLAND            GLOUCESTER
OCEAN                 SALEM

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC CITY...CAMDEN...
CHERRY HILL...DEPTFORD...DOVER...EAST BRUNSWICK...EDISON...
FLEMINGTON...FREEHOLD...GEORGETOWN...GLASSBORO...HAMMONTON...
MILLVILLE...MOORESTOWN...MORRISTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
NEW BRUNSWICK...NORTH BRUNSWICK TOWNSHIP...OCEAN CITY...
PENNSVILLE...PERTH AMBOY...SAYREVILLE...SOMERSET...
TOMS RIVER AND TRENTON.

$$


 

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