A decent week coming up, even though it will start out unsettled through Tuesday Night/early Wednesday Morning. Monday through Tuesday will bring chances of rain and thunderstorms. Monday will be mainly isolated or scattered showers and thunderstorms with Tuesday bringing the greatest chances for more widely scattered or widespread showers and thunderstorms. Rain and storms could carry over into Wednesday early morning as well. Some of the storms on Monday and Tuesday could be strong to severe with damaging winds, possible hail, frequent lighting and heavy rains. Wednesday through Friday will be dry with more sun than clouds. High temperatures will start off on Monday and Tuesday in the mid to upper 80's inland with low 80's along/on the water and in northern areas. Overnight lows on Monday will be in the mid 60's to low 70's. This will be moister air with dew points in the upper 60's and 70's making for moderately to higher humidity. By Wednesday drier and cooler air will move in with high pressure from the north. High temperatures on Wednesday through Friday will be in the upper 70's to low 80's inland and mid to upper 70's along/on the water and across northern areas. Overnight lows for Tuesday through Friday will be range from the mid 50's across northern areas and higher elevations to mid 60's along/on the water. Drier air will move in with the high making dew points in the upper 50's to mid 60's making humidity much more comfortable. Water conditions are rated good all week for all locations except for Offshore late Tuesday into Wednesday Morning with cautious conditions. With a passing cold front winds could gust to 20 knots with some building seas, especially Offshore and again possibly on Friday. However, conditions will remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria inshore to midshore. A southerly flow will persist through Tuesday. Water temperatures are the same or slightly warmer in some areas. Bays and rivers are still in the upper 70's to low 80's, Inshore ocean waters are in the mid 70's, Midshore to Offshore waters are in the mid to upper 70's and surf temperatures are in the low 70's. Inshore and surf temperatures could feel the effects of the southerly flow with some upwelling. Surf and beach conditions will be good all week with low risks of rip currents and normal surf with wave heights 1-2 feet. UV Index will be Very High all week. So despite some wet conditions to start the week, the entire days will not be a wash and no significant weather events are forecast right now.
A frontal boundary will remain stalled to the south of the area through Tuesday, while some weak areas of low pressure will move east along the boundary. A cold front will move through the area on Tuesday and Tuesday Night. High pressure will then build across the area for the remainder of the week.
The upcoming weekend looks OK! Not fantastic, but not a wash out either right now. Low pressure moving along the stalled out boundary to our south may bring some chances of rain and thunderstorms both days. Temperatures would continue in the upper 70's to low 80's with some slightly moister air and humidity over the area. The low could also bring some cautious water conditions with gusty winds and building seas, with possible Small Craft Advisories, especially across southern inshore waters and offshore areas. Surf and beach conditions look ok as well with low to moderate risks of rip currents and normal to slightly elevated surf, especially across southern areas. This could change either way right now and midweek will give a much better picture of the weekend.
Tropics are quiet again, however the models are hinting at something forming in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico affecting the Gulf States. Nothing there right now and way too soon to even discuss details, however conditions and weather patterns are favorable for development.
Anyone interested in meteor showers, the Perseid Meteor Showers will peak Sunday and Monday Night with low light moon conditions and varying cloud cover. It may be spotty enough to catch a decent show.
Have a great week!
MondaySky: Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 40%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80's
Low: Upper 60's to low 70's, mid 60's northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: Very High 9/15
Sunrise: 6:05am
Sunset: 7:58pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Fair
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
TuesdaySky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 60% chance showers and thunderstorms during the day, 30%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80's, upper 70's northern areas and higher elevations
Low: Low to mid 60's, low to mid 50's northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: Very High 8/15
Sunrise: 6:06am
Sunset: 7:57pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
WednesdaySky: Mostly sunny/partly cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance, 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day across southern areas
Temperatures
High: Mid 70's to low 80's
Low: Low 50's to mid 60's
UV Index: Very High 8/15
Sunrise: 6:07am
Sunset: 7:55pm
First Qtr: 6:57am
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Good
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
ThursdaySky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 70's
Low: Mid 50's to mid 60's
UV Index: Very High 9/15
Sunrise: 6:08am
Sunset: 7:54pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 43/50
FridaySky: Mostly to partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance during the day, 30% chance of showers at night across southern areas
Temperatures
High: Low 80's inland, mid to upper 70's along/on the water, northern areas and higher elevations
Low: Low 60's inland, mid 60's along/on the water, low 50's northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: Very High 9/15
Sunrise: 6:09am
Sunset: 7:53pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Good
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - SundayCoastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 80°F
MondayWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Monday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
TuesdayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot becoming 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
WednesdayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Wednesday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Thursday Wind: N 5 knots becoming S in the evening
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Thursday NightWind: S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
FridayWind: N 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Friday NightWind: E 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 74°F
Monday MorningWinds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: N 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: N 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SSE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Friday MorningWinds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Friday AfternoonWinds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Manasquan Inlet Tides Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 79°F
MondayWind: Variable 5 knots becoming SSE 6 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: Variable 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
TuesdayWind: SW 7-9 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: W 6-9 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: N 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: SSW 6 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Wind: N 7 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: Variable 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: Variable 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: Variable 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 76°F
Monday MorningWinds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: NE 1 to 1 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: SSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday MorningWinds: N 13 to 18 knots
Seas: NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday MorningWinds: NE 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday AfternoonWinds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Friday MorningWinds: E 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Friday AfternoonWinds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Cape May (Ocean) TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 77°F
MondayWind: SE 5 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Monday NightWind: S 5 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 0-1 feet
TuesdayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: W 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: N 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: E 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Wind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 73°F-75°F
Monday MorningWinds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Monday AfternoonWinds: S 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday MorningWinds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 15 to 21 knots
Seas: N 4 feet at 5 secondsWednesday AfternoonWinds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas: NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday MorningWinds: NNE 3 to 5 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Friday MorningWinds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Friday AfternoonWinds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)