Approaching the holiday week, this week will be a wet week and mostly cautious water conditions. Precipitation will move in during the Sunday overnight into Monday Morning. Some areas could see snow or a wintry mix and the rest will have rain. I wouldn’t rule out any areas of the state that won’t potentially see some snow or wintry mix, but it will change over to rain by later morning to afternoon at the latest. This could make for a hazardous morning commute. Any precipitation should clear out for Monday Night, but rain will return for Tuesday with wintry precipitation across some northern areas. All day Wednesday and Thursday Day will see a return of sunshine with some clouds and increasing clouds into Thursday Night as rain chances return for Thursday and Friday and linger into Saturday. Rain does not look like a solid widespread event this week, but rather widely scattered to scattered precipitation. I wouldn’t rule out the potential for some Thunderstorms on Thursday or Friday as well. Highs will be in the 40’s and 50’s with some 60’s on Thursday. Overnight lows will still be in the 20’s and 30’s with some 40’s on Thursday before the cold front moves through. Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous on Monday will Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warning offshore. Tuesday through Friday will see a mix of good to cautious to hazardous conditions depending on location. Surf conditions will be ok to cautious with a day or two of good conditions possible in the middle of the week. Winds will be gusty and surf conditions could be high on Monday, Thursday and Friday with winds and seas settling on Tuesday and Wednesday. Surf heights could peak at 6-8+ feet this week. Water temperatures are in the upper 30’s to low 40’s still; a couple of degrees colder than last week. UV Index will be Low to High this week at 3-6/15.
A cold front is expected for Monday. A fast moving low pressure system will follow and move through the area late on Tuesday. High pressure will build into the region for Wednesday and move offshore on Thursday. The next cold front will come late in the week.
Saturday could have some showers during the day, clearing out for the night. Sunday will have a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will only be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s with overnight lows in the 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions inshore will be borderline to good on Saturday and cautious to hazardous on Sunday and offshore will be cautious to hazardous both days.
Have a great week and thanks for reading!
MondaySky: Cloudy becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation: 30%-40% chance of rain/snow/mix during the overnight/day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 50’s
Low: Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas
UV Index: 3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 7:17pm
TuesdaySky: Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-60% chance of rain all day, northern areas could see rain/mix/snow
Temperatures
High: Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low: Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas
UV Index: 3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 7:18pm
WednesdaySky: Sunny to mostly sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low: Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas
UV Index: 5-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:41am
Sunset: 7:19pm
ThursdaySky: Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-30% chance of rain during the day (mainly showers across northern areas), 50%-chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low: Upper 40’s to low 50’s
UV Index: 5-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 7:20pm
FridaySky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-50% chance of rain all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low: Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
UV Index: 3-5/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 7:21pm
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - SundayCoastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SW 15-20 knots becoming W in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the evening, diminishing to 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feetWednesday NightWind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
ThursdayWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet, then 4-7 feet
Thursday NightWind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 4-7 feet
FridayWind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 4-8 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 4-8 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feetMonday NightWinds: SW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetTuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: W 4 to 6 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Seas: S 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFTC ADVISORY
Winds: S 17 to 24 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feetFriday MorningWinds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides Coney Island TidesSandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 39°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feetTuesday MorningWinds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: E 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetFriday MorningWinds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WNW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet TidesBarnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 37°F
Monday Day
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SSW 16-21 knots with gusts to 29 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetTuesdayWind: W 8-12 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: SW 8-11 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: NNW 11-14 knots decreasing to 7-10 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 5-10 knots increasing to 13-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 13-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feetFridayWind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 39°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 22 to 29 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetMonday NightWinds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: N 13 to 17 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Friday MorningWinds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 39°F-42°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 3-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots late
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 footTuesdayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots becoming NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
WednesdayWind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 5 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 footThursdayWinds: S 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
FridayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 40°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: SW 5 feet at 5 secondsMonday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: SW 8 feet at 7 secondsTuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas: W 4 feet at 5 secondsWednesday MorningWinds: N 11 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday MorningWinds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 4 secondsFriday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: SSW 10 feet at 8 secondsFriday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 8 seconds Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)