NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 3-4, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

So, this weekend outlook should come as no surprise that weather will be stormy and water conditions hazardous as a stalled out front with waves of low pressure bring heavy rains, high winds, high tides and rough seas to the area. Saturday and Sunday will both have rain, widely scattered to widespread with no rain at times. Rain could be heavy, however the massive amounts of precipitation does not look like it is going to happen. Still, anywhere from 1-5+ inches are possible, enough to cause some inland and flash flooding. High winds and a strong northeasterly flow around 25-35 knots with gusts to 40+ knots, will bring higher tides anywhere from 1-4 feet above normal. This will cause minor to major flooding in some places along the coast. These higher than normal tides will persist through Monday and could extend beyond that. Water conditions will be cautious for rivers and bays and hazardous with Gale Warnings and Small Craft Advisories in effect. Winds will blow 25-40 knots with gusts 40-60+ knots. Seas will build to 15 feet on the ocean causing a dangerous situation. Surf and beach conditions will be hazardous and dangerous as well, with winds to 35 knots and gusts to 50+ knots. Surf will be dangerously rough with high risk of rip currents and wave heights at 5-15 feet. Rough surf will also cause beach erosion. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s and low 70’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate.

A stalled front will remain off the Mid Atlantic Coast into this weekend while large and strengthening high pressure builds across Southeast Canada through the weekend. Hurricane Joaquin needs to be monitored, but as soon as it gets passed the region, weak high pressure will move into the region for the middle of the week.



I am not going to even look at next week yet. There is just too much going on right now and too much that could or could not go on to even begin to guess at next week. Hurricane Joaquin will likely bring only some rains to the area, unless the track changes more westerly. Then, things should dry out and clear up for the remainder of the week? Water conditions will start off hazardous on Monday and Tuesday, even Wednesday, then resolve relatively quickly for midweek through the end of the week. Still not sure how fast that will happen and it will depend on the track of Joaquin, but forecasts are saying everything will be ok come the end of the week, just in time for the tuna trip.

Joaquin is a Category 4 hurricane and will move offshore of the state by Monday Night and Tuesday. There is another invest area behind Joaquin that needs to be monitored now as well.

Have a great weekend, be safe and stay dry. Thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-60% chance of rain
Temperatures
High:     Low 60’s inland, mid 60’s to low 70’s at the shore, mid 50’s across northern areas
Low:     Upper 50’s inland, low to mid 60’s at the shore, low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:54am
Sunset: 6:37pm


Sunday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-60% chance of rain
Temperatures
High:     Upper 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
Low:     Upper 50’s inland, low to mid 60’s at the shore, low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 6:36pm
Last Qtr: 5:07pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):   5-10 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  ESE 9 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet
Sunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 23 to 32 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  5-10 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  68°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  E 10 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  6-12 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  E 10 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  6-12 feet
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 27 to 36 knots
Seas:  E 10 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  6-12 feet
Sunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 27 to 36 knots
Seas:  E 11 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  6-12 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  65°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  ENE 28 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  ENE 24-26 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  ENE 21-23 knots with gusts to 32 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  ENE 19-24 knots with gusts to 34 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  E 9 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  7-13 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  E 9 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  7-13 feet
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 28 to 38 knots
Seas:  E 11 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  8-16 feet
Sunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 29 to 39 knots
Seas:  E 12 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  8-16 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  69°F-72°F
Saturday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 25-30 knots
Seas:  4-7 feet
Surf:  3-6 feet
Saturday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 25-30 knots becoming E 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas:  4-7 feet
Surf:  3-6 feet
Sunday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  4-7 feet subsiding 3-5 feet
Surf:  3-6 feet subsiding to 2-4 feet
Sunday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 20-25 knots increasing to 25-30 knots after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 27 to 37 knots
Seas:  ENE 14 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 28 to 38 knots
Seas:  ENE 13 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 28 to 38 knots
Seas:  ENE 14 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 30 to 41 knots
Seas:  ENE 15 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)